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Meta-Analysis on Heuristics and Biases

Posted by:  Jon Krosnick Title/Position:  Professor School/Organization:  Stanford University Sent to listserv of:  SPSP, SESP, SPSSI Date posted:  October 31st, 2009

Dear Colleagues: We are conducting meta-analyses of exact or nearly-exact replications of three highly cited studies of heuristics and biases in social judgment. We would be very grateful for your help locating any papers we have missed. The three classic studies (and the papers we've found so far) are: Lawyer / Engineer Problem of Base Rate Underutilization: Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237-251. The problem that begins with: "A panel of psychologists interviewed and administered personality tests to 100 men, some engineers and some lawyers, all successful in their respective fields..." The papers we have found already are listed at: http://www.stanford.edu/~dyeager/David_Yeagers_Website/Meta-analysis_files/lawyer%20 engineer%20citations.doc Law of Large Numbers Problem About Bluff Creek Hospitals: Tversky, A., and Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124–1131 The problem that begins with: "A town called Bluff Creek is served by two hospitals. In the larger hospital, about 45 babies are born each day..." The papers we have found already are listed at: http://www.stanford.edu/~dyeager/David_Yeagers_Website/Meta-analysis_files/maternity %20ward%20citations.doc Ease of Retrieval Influence on Self-Perceptions: Schwarz, N., Bless, H., Strack, F., Klumpp, G., Rittenauer-Schatka, H., & Simons, A. (1991). Ease of retrieval as information: Another look at the availability heuristic. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 61, 195–202. The papers we have found already are listed at: http://www.stanford.edu/~dyeager/David_Yeagers_Website/Meta-analysis_files/Ease%20of %20retrieval%20citations.doc Thanks in advance for sending us any papers you have written or know of replicating these studies. Sincerely, David Yeager and Jon Krosnick (dyeager@stanford.edu and krosnick@stanford.edu)

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